Will AI replace Historians?

AI can do 66% of the work Historians do at least twice as fast. People already use it for 1 of their 21 tasks, while 13 more are ready but barely used so far. 7 still need a person.

AI is already doing this1 · 3% of time

People already use AI for these tasks in real work, based on Anthropic's analysis of how Claude is used.

  • Determine which topics to research, or pursue research topics specified by clients or employers.Mostly automated3% of time

AI could do this next13 · 64% of time

AI can speed these up by at least half, but real use has not caught up yet. These are next in line.

  • Organize data, and analyze and interpret its authenticity and relative significance.11% of time
  • Conduct historical research, and publish or present findings and theories.10% of time
  • Conduct historical research as a basis for the identification, conservation, and reconstruction of historic places and materials.8% of time
  • Research and prepare manuscripts in support of public programming and the development of exhibits at historic sites, museums, libraries, and archives.8% of time
  • Prepare publications and exhibits, or review those prepared by others, to ensure their historical accuracy.5% of time
  • Research the history of a particular country or region, or of a specific time period.5% of time
  • Organize information for publication and for other means of dissemination, such as via storage media or the Internet.5% of time
  • Present historical accounts in terms of individuals or social, ethnic, political, economic, or geographic groupings.4% of time
  • Trace historical development in a particular field, such as social, cultural, political, or diplomatic history.3% of time
  • Edit historical society publications.3% of time
  • Translate or request translation of reference materials.1% of time
  • Collect detailed information on individuals for use in biographies.1% of time
  • Recommend actions related to historical art, such as which items to add to a collection or which items to display in an exhibit.1% of time

Still needs a person7 · 34% of time

No real AI use, no proven AI speedup and no robot that can do it yet. This is the part of the job to build on.

  • Gather historical data from sources such as archives, court records, diaries, news files, and photographs, as well as from books, pamphlets, and periodicals.14% of time
  • Teach and conduct research in colleges, universities, museums, and other research agencies and schools.5% of time
  • Advise or consult with individuals and institutions regarding issues such as the historical authenticity of materials or the customs of a specific historical period.4% of time
  • Interview people to gather information about historical events and to record oral histories.4% of time
  • Conserve and preserve manuscripts, records, and other artifacts.4% of time
  • Speak to various groups, organizations, and clubs to promote the aims and activities of historical societies.3% of time
  • Coordinate activities of workers engaged in cataloging and filing materials.1% of time

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What this means

AI can do most of this work faster, but a real part of the job still needs a person. Real use is still behind at 3 out of 100, so the change here is only getting started. The people who learn which tasks to hand off will pull ahead.

What to do next

  • Do the 1 task AI is already handling with AI yourself. Your peers already are, and it is quickly becoming the baseline.
  • Get ahead on the 13 tasks AI could do next. These move as tools improve, so learning them early pays off.
  • Build on the 7 tasks that stay human. This is where your judgment, skill and relationships matter most.

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