Will AI replace Judges, Magistrate Judges, and Magistrates?

AI can do 61% of the work Judges, Magistrate Judges, and Magistrates do at least twice as fast. People already use it for 3 of their 21 tasks, while 6 more are ready but barely used so far. 12 still need a person.

AI is already doing this3 · 32% of time

People already use AI for these tasks in real work, based on Anthropic's analysis of how Claude is used.

  • Read documents on pleadings and motions to ascertain facts and issues.Mostly automated13% of time
  • Write decisions on cases.Mostly automated11% of time
  • Research legal issues and write opinions on the issues.Mostly automated8% of time

AI could do this next6 · 29% of time

AI can speed these up by at least half, but real use has not caught up yet. These are next in line.

  • Preside over hearings and listen to allegations made by plaintiffs to determine whether the evidence supports the charges.16% of time
  • Settle disputes between opposing attorneys.4% of time
  • Conduct preliminary hearings to decide issues, such as whether there is reasonable and probable cause to hold defendants in felony cases.3% of time
  • Provide information regarding the judicial system or other legal issues through the media and public speeches.2% of time
  • Issue arrest warrants.2% of time
  • Award compensation for damages to litigants in civil cases in relation to findings by juries or by the court.1% of time

Still needs a person12 · 39% of time

No real AI use, no proven AI speedup and no robot that can do it yet. This is the part of the job to build on.

  • Monitor proceedings to ensure that all applicable rules and procedures are followed.9% of time
  • Sentence defendants in criminal cases, on conviction by jury, according to applicable government statutes.4% of time
  • Advise attorneys, juries, litigants, and court personnel regarding conduct, issues, and proceedings.4% of time
  • Rule on custody and access disputes, and enforce court orders regarding custody and support of children.4% of time
  • Rule on admissibility of evidence and methods of conducting testimony.3% of time
  • Interpret and enforce rules of procedure or establish new rules in situations where there are no procedures already established by law.3% of time
  • Supervise other judges, court officers, and the court's administrative staff.3% of time
  • Instruct juries on applicable laws, direct juries to deduce the facts from the evidence presented, and hear their verdicts.2% of time
  • Grant divorces and divide assets between spouses.2% of time
  • Impose restrictions upon parties in civil cases until trials can be held.1% of time
  • Participate in judicial tribunals to help resolve disputes.1% of time
  • Perform wedding ceremonies.1% of time

Your week is not the average

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What this means

AI can do most of this work faster, but a real part of the job still needs a person. Real use is still behind at 29 out of 100, so the change here is only getting started. The people who learn which tasks to hand off will pull ahead.

What to do next

  • Do the 3 tasks AI is already handling with AI yourself. Your peers already are, and it is quickly becoming the baseline.
  • Get ahead on the 6 tasks AI could do next. These move as tools improve, so learning them early pays off.
  • Build on the 12 tasks that stay human. This is where your judgment, skill and relationships matter most.

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