Will AI replace Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters?

AI can do 10% of the work Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters do at least twice as fast. People already use it for 1 of their 30 tasks, while 3 more are ready but barely used so far. Robots can technically handle 13 physical tasks. 13 still need a person.

AI is already doing this1 · 4% of time

People already use AI for these tasks in real work, based on Anthropic's analysis of how Claude is used.

  • Review blueprints, building codes, or specifications to determine work details or procedures.Mostly automated4% of time

AI could do this next3 · 6% of time

AI can speed these up by at least half, but real use has not caught up yet. These are next in line.

  • Keep records of work assignments.2% of time
  • Estimate time, material, or labor costs for use in project plans.2% of time
  • Lay out full scale drawings of pipe systems, supports, or related equipment, according to blueprints.1% of time

Robots can technically do this13 · 39% of time

Physical tasks that today's robots can perform in at least some settings. Robots are cost competitive for very few tasks so far, so this change moves slower.

  • Cut, thread, or hammer pipes to specifications, using tools such as saws, cutting torches, pipe threaders, or pipe benders.Robots: purpose built settings7% of time
  • Maintain or repair plumbing by replacing defective washers, replacing or mending broken pipes, or opening clogged drains.Robots: purpose built settings6% of time
  • Locate and mark the position of pipe installations, connections, passage holes, or fixtures in structures, using measuring instruments such as rulers or levels.Robots: almost anywhere5% of time
  • Attach pipes to walls, structures, or fixtures, such as radiators or tanks, using brackets, clamps, tools, or welding equipment.Robots: purpose built settings4% of time
  • Modify, clean, or maintain pipe systems, units, fittings, or related machines or equipment, using hand or power tools.Robots: purpose built settings4% of time
  • Fill pipes or plumbing fixtures with water or air and observe pressure gauges to detect and locate leaks.Robots: purpose built settings2% of time
  • Anchor steel supports from ceiling joists to hold pipes in place.Robots: purpose built settings2% of time
  • Cut openings in structures to accommodate pipes or pipe fittings, using hand or power tools.Robots: purpose built settings2% of time
  • Install automatic controls to regulate pipe systems.Robots: purpose built settings1% of time
  • Shut off steam, water, or other gases or liquids from pipe sections, using valve keys or wrenches.Robots: purpose built settings1% of time
  • Inspect work sites for obstructions or holes that could cause structural weakness.Robots: purpose built settings1% of time
  • Weld small pipes or special piping, using specialized techniques, equipment, or materials, such as computer-assisted welding or microchip fabrication.Robots: purpose built settings1% of time
  • Operate motorized pumps to remove water from flooded manholes, basements, or facility floors.Robots: purpose built settings1% of time

Still needs a person13 · 51% of time

No real AI use, no proven AI speedup and no robot that can do it yet. This is the part of the job to build on.

  • Assemble pipe sections, tubing, or fittings, using couplings, clamps, screws, bolts, cement, plastic solvent, caulking, or soldering, brazing, or welding equipment.13% of time
  • Install pipe assemblies, fittings, valves, appliances such as dishwashers or water heaters, or fixtures such as sinks or toilets, using hand or power tools.11% of time
  • Repair or remove and replace system components.5% of time
  • Plan pipe system layout, installation, or repair, according to specifications.4% of time
  • Direct helpers engaged in pipe cutting, preassembly, or installation of plumbing systems or components.4% of time
  • Inspect, examine, or test installed systems or pipe lines, using pressure gauge, hydrostatic testing, observation, or other methods.2% of time
  • Select pipe sizes, types, or related materials, such as supports, hangers, or hydraulic cylinders, according to specifications.2% of time
  • Install underground storm, sanitary, or water piping systems, extending piping as needed to connect fixtures and plumbing.2% of time
  • Inspect structures to assess material or equipment needs, to establish the sequence of pipe installations, or to plan installation around obstructions, such as electrical wiring.2% of time
  • Install green plumbing equipment, such as faucet flow restrictors, dual-flush or pressure-assisted flush toilets, or tankless hot water heaters.1% of time
  • Install fixtures, appliances, or equipment designed to reduce water or energy consumption.1% of time
  • Install pipe systems to support alternative energy-fueled systems, such as geothermal heating or cooling systems.1% of time
  • Repair hydraulic or air pumps.1% of time

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What this means

Little of this work suits AI. The bigger change here is robots: today's robots can technically do 40% of the working time, though they are rarely cheap enough to replace people yet.

What to do next

  • Do the 1 task AI is already handling with AI yourself. Your peers already are, and it is quickly becoming the baseline.
  • Get ahead on the 3 tasks AI could do next. These move as tools improve, so learning them early pays off.
  • Keep an eye on the 13 physical tasks robots can technically do. Cost keeps most robots out of work today, so this shift is slower.
  • Build on the 13 tasks that stay human. This is where your judgment, skill and relationships matter most.

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